NOAK Observatory (L02)

Ειδοποιήσεις από το σύστημα έγκαιρης προειδοποίησης DONKI της NASA (διαστημικός καιρός, Ήλιος)



NASA DONKI Notifications

NASA DONKI Notifications

Message Type: RBE

Message ID: 20260801-AL-003

Issue Time: 2026-08-01T15:53Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - Radiation Belt Enhancement
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## Message Issue Date: 2026-08-01T15:53:27Z
## Message ID: 20260801-AL-003
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Significantly elevated energetic electron fluxes in the Earth's outer radiation belt. GOES "greater than 2.0 MeV" integral electron flux is above 1000 pfu starting at 2026-08-01T15:40Z.

The elevated energetic electron flux levels are likely caused by the arrival of the CME with ID 2026-07-24T04:38:00-CME-001 (see notifications 20260724-AL-001, 20260725-AL-001). The arrival of this CME was detected at L1 by ACE at 2026-07-27T15:27Z.

NASA spacecraft at GEO, MEO and other orbits passing through or in the vicinity of the Earth's outer radiation belt can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2026-08-01T15:40:00-RBE-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: RBE

Message ID: 20260801-AL-002

Issue Time: 2026-08-01T15:48Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Auto-generated Space Weather Notification - Radiation Belt Enhancement
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-08-01T15:48:08Z
## Message ID: 20260801-AL-002
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Significantly elevated energetic electron fluxes in the Earth's outer radiation belt. GOES "greater than 2.0 MeV" integral electron flux is above 1000 pfu starting at 2026-08-01T15:40Z.


NASA spacecraft at GEO, MEO and other orbits passing through or in the vicinity of the Earth's outer radiation belt can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2026-08-01T15:40:00-RBE-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20260801-AL-001

Issue Time: 2026-08-01T01:47Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Solar Orbiter)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-08-01T01:47:10Z
## Message ID: 20260801-AL-001
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

C-type CME detected by STEREO A / GOES / SOHO.

Start time of the event: 2026-07-31T23:00Z.

Estimated speed: ~949 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 25 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): -166/9 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2026-07-31T23:00:00-CME-001

Based on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CME may impact Solar Orbiter. The leading edge of the CME will reach Solar Orbiter at 2026-08-02T04:03Z (plus minus 7 hours).

Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2026-07-31T23:00:00-CME-001):

https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260801_015900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260801_015900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260801_015900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260801_015900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif


## Notes:


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details

GIFs:

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Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20260731-AL-004

Issue Time: 2026-07-31T16:37Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Psyche)
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## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-31T16:37:02Z
## Message ID: 20260731-AL-004
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

C-type CME detected by STEREO A.

Start time of the event: 2026-07-31T03:08Z.

Estimated speed: ~656 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 19 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): 135/26 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2026-07-31T03:08:00-CME-001

Based on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CME may impact Psyche (glancing blow). The flank of the CME may reach Psyche at 2026-08-04T16:00Z (plus minus 7 hours).

Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2026-07-31T03:08:00-CME-001):

https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260731_080300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260731_080300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260731_080300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260731_080300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif


## Notes:


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details

GIFs:

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Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20260731-AL-003

Issue Time: 2026-07-31T13:29Z

Message Body: *** The GOES P >10 MeV Integral Proton Intensity later crossed the 10 pfu threshold again at 2026-07-31T13:20Z as part of the same SEP event, 2026-07-30T18:45:00-SEP-001. ***


## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Auto-generated Space Weather Notification - SEP
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-31T13:29:48Z
## Message ID: 20260731-AL-003
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by GOES. The flux of > 10 MeV protons exceeds 10 pfu starting at 2026-07-31T13:20Z.

NASA spacecraft at MEO, GEO and other high-altitude orbits and high-inclination LEO can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2026-07-31T13:20:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20260731-AL-002

Issue Time: 2026-07-31T11:17Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME update (ensemble) (STEREO A, Mars, Missions Near Earth)
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## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-31T11:17:54Z
## Message ID: 20260731-AL-002
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

BETA PRODUCT. ENSEMBLE PRODUCT IS STILL IN DEVELOPMENT MODE. PLEASE LET US KNOW IF YOU HAVE ANY SUGGESTIONS FOR MODIFICATIONS.

Ensemble modeling update on CME with ID 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001 (see previous notification 20260731-AL-001). Based on analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric ensemble modeling carried out at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CME may impact STEREO A and Mars. For 35 ensemble members (see notes section), simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach:

- STEREO A between about 2026-08-01T08:08Z and 2026-08-02T02:02Z (average arrival 2026-08-01T18:12Z) for 100% of simulations.
- Mars between about 2026-08-03T12:16Z and 2026-08-03T12:16Z (average arrival 2026-08-03T12:16Z) for 2% of simulations.

Additionally the CME is estimated to reach NASA missions near Earth between about 2026-08-01T13:51Z and 2026-08-02T11:03Z (average arrival 2026-08-01T23:55Z) for 94% of simulations. The ensemble-based forecast indicates that there is a 88% chance for the maximum Kp index to be in the 3-6 range (below minor to moderate).

Links to the ensemble details of the modeled event:
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2026-07-30_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096/20260730_191600_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096_anim_tim-den.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2026-07-30_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096/20260730_191600_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096_arrival_Earth.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2026-07-30_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096/20260730_191600_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096_Earth_stack.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2026-07-30_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096/20260730_191600_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096_probabilistic_Kp_forecast_wdist.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2026-07-30_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096/20260730_191600_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096_arrival_Mars.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2026-07-30_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096/20260730_191600_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096_Mars_stack.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2026-07-30_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096/20260730_191600_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096_arrival_STA.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2026-07-30_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096/20260730_191600_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096_STA_stack.gif

## Notes:
The CME event with ID 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001 is also predicted to impact BepiColombo at 2026-07-31T08:51Z, Juice at 2026-08-02T19:28Z, Parker Solar Probe at 2026-08-01T04:33Z, OSIRIS-APEX at 2026-08-03T10:00Z (Glancing Blow), and Psyche at 2026-08-04T03:00Z (Glancing Blow) (plus minus 7 hours) based on previous heliospheric modeling (see notification 20260731-AL-001).

This CME event (2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001) is associated with M1.9 flare with ID 2026-07-30T15:53:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 14492 (N16W70) which peaked at 2026-07-30T17:00Z, SEP at GOES-P with ID 2026-07-30T18:25:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20260730-AL-002, 20260730-AL-003), SEP at GOES-P with ID 2026-07-30T18:45:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20260730-AL-005, 20260730-AL-006), SEP at SOHO with ID 2026-07-30T20:52:00-SEP-001, and SEP at SOHO with ID 2026-07-30T20:58:00-SEP-001 (see notification 20260730-AL-008).

Ensemble CME modeling at M2M is performed by building sets of initial CME parameters and carrying out separate simulations for each set. This approach allows a mapping of initial CME parameter uncertainties into a statistical characterization of CME arrival times and impact at locations of interest.

Description of links: For each location, the first link shows the WSA-ENLIL+Cone model animation for the median CME input parameters, the second link shows the probabilistic distribution of predicted arrival times histogram, and the third link shows a stack plot of the WSA-ENLIL+Cone modeled magnetic field, velocity, density, and temperature for all ensemble members. For missions near Earth, a histogram of the probabilistic Kp forecast is also provided.

For the full details of the modeled event, please go here:
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/ENSEMBLE/2026-07-30_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096/Detailed_results_20260730_191600_ncmes1_sims35_M2M-SWAO096.txt


URL: View Details

GIFs:

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Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20260731-AL-001

Issue Time: 2026-07-31T02:49Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME update (BepiColombo, Juice, Parker Solar Probe, STEREO A, Mars, OSIRIS-APEX, Psyche, Missions Near Earth)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-31T02:49:59Z
## Message ID: 20260731-AL-001
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Update on CME with ID 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001 (see previous notifications 20260730-AL-004, 20260730-AL-007). Based on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect BepiColombo, Juice, Parker Solar Probe, STEREO A, Mars (glancing blow), OSIRIS-APEX (glancing blow), and Psyche (glancing blow). The leading edge of the CME will reach BepiColombo at 2026-07-31T08:51Z, Juice at 2026-08-02T19:28Z, Parker Solar Probe at 2026-08-01T04:33Z, STEREO A at 2026-08-01T21:58Z (plus minus 7 hours). The flank of the CME will reach Mars at 2026-08-04T02:00Z, OSIRIS-APEX at 2026-08-03T10:00Z, and Psyche at 2026-08-04T03:00Z (plus minus 7 hours).

The simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2026-08-02T03:16Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 4-6 (below minor to moderate).


Updated CME parameters are (event downgraded to C-type):

Start time of the event: 2026-07-30T16:53Z.

Estimated speed: ~930 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 49 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): 43/26 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001


Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001):

https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_203400_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif


## Notes:

This CME event (2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001) is associated with M1.9 flare with ID 2026-07-30T15:53:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 14492 (N16W70) which peaked at 2026-07-30T17:00Z, SEP at GOES-P with ID 2026-07-30T18:25:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20260730-AL-002, 20260730-AL-003), SEP at GOES-P with ID 2026-07-30T18:45:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20260730-AL-005, 20260730-AL-006), SEP at SOHO with ID 2026-07-30T20:52:00-SEP-001, and SEP at SOHO with ID 2026-07-30T20:58:00-SEP-001 (see notification 20260730-AL-008).


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details

GIFs:

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Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20260730-AL-008

Issue Time: 2026-07-30T21:32Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - SEP (SOHO)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-30T21:32:04Z
## Message ID: 20260730-AL-008
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by SOHO. The flux of one or more of the >15.8 MeV protons channels exceeds 10^(-1) pfu/MeV starting at 2026-07-30T20:58Z.

NASA spacecraft at L1 and near-Earth orbits can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2026-07-30T20:58:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:

This SEP event (2026-07-30T18:45:00-SEP-001) is associated with O-type CME with ID 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001 (see notifications 20260730-AL-004, 20260730-AL-007) and M1.9 flare from Active Region 14492 (N16W70) with ID 2026-07-30T15:53:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2026-07-30T17:00Z.

URL: View Details


Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20260730-AL-007

Issue Time: 2026-07-30T20:10Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME update (BepiColombo, Juice, Parker Solar Probe, STEREO A, Mars, OSIRIS-APEX, Psyche, Missions Near Earth)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-30T20:10:34Z
## Message ID: 20260730-AL-007
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Update on CME with ID 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001 (see previous notification 20260730-AL-004). Based on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect BepiColombo, Juice, Parker Solar Probe, STEREO A, Mars (glancing blow), OSIRIS-APEX (glancing blow), and Psyche (glancing blow). The leading edge of the CME will reach BepiColombo at 2026-07-31T07:01Z, Juice at 2026-08-02T12:57Z, Parker Solar Probe at 2026-08-01T00:19Z, and STEREO A at 2026-08-01T17:02Z. The flank may reach Mars at 2026-08-03T20:00Z, OSIRIS-APEX at 2026-08-03T04:00Z, and Psyche at 2026-08-04T00:00Z (plus minus 7 hours).

The simulation also indicates that the CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2026-08-01T22:52Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 4-6 (below minor to moderate).


Updated CME parameters are (O-type):

Start time of the event: 2026-07-30T16:53Z.

Estimated speed: ~1090 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 47 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): 42/22 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001


Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001):

https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260730_195800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif


## Notes:

This CME event (2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001) is associated with M1.9 flare with ID 2026-07-30T15:53:00-FLR-001 from Active Region 14492 (N16W70) which peaked at 2026-07-30T17:00Z, SEP at GOES-P with ID 2026-07-30T18:25:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20260730-AL-002, 20260730-AL-003), and SEP at GOES-P with ID 2026-07-30T18:45:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20260730-AL-005, 20260730-AL-006).


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details

GIFs:

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Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20260730-AL-006

Issue Time: 2026-07-30T18:57Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - SEP (GOES)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-30T18:57:26Z
## Message ID: 20260730-AL-006
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by GOES. The flux of > 10 MeV protons exceeds 10 pfu starting at 2026-07-30T18:45Z.

NASA spacecraft at MEO, GEO and other high-altitude orbits and high-inclination LEO can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2026-07-30T18:45:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:

This SEP event (2026-07-30T18:45:00-SEP-001) is associated with O-type CME with ID 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001 (see notification 20260730-AL-004) and M1.9 flare from Active Region 14492 (N16W70) with ID 2026-07-30T15:53:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2026-07-30T17:00Z.


URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20260730-AL-005

Issue Time: 2026-07-30T18:53Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Auto-generated Space Weather Notification - SEP
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-30T18:53:31Z
## Message ID: 20260730-AL-005
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by GOES. The flux of > 10 MeV protons exceeds 10 pfu starting at 2026-07-30T18:45Z.

NASA spacecraft at MEO, GEO and other high-altitude orbits and high-inclination LEO can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2026-07-30T18:45:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20260730-AL-004

Issue Time: 2026-07-30T18:41Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-30T18:41:04Z
## Message ID: 20260730-AL-004
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

O-type CME detected by STEREO A / GOES.

Start time of the event: 2026-07-30T16:53Z.

Estimated speed: ~1580 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 37 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): 51/14 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

NASA spacecraft near Earth, Mars, BepiColombo, STEREO A, Psyche, Parker Solar Probe, and Juice can be affected. Updates on this event will be provided when available.

Activity ID: 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001

## Notes:

This CME event (2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001) is associated with M1.9 flare from AR 14492 (N16W70) with ID 2026-07-30T15:53:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2026-07-30T17:00Z.


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20260730-AL-003

Issue Time: 2026-07-30T18:38Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - SEP (GOES)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-30T18:38:41Z
## Message ID: 20260730-AL-003
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by GOES. The flux of > 100 MeV protons exceeds 1 pfu starting at 2026-07-30T18:25Z.

NASA Spacecraft at MEO, GEO and other high-altitude orbits and high-inclination LEO can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2026-07-30T18:25:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:

This SEP event (2026-07-30T18:25:00-SEP-001) is associated with the CME with ID 2026-07-30T16:53:00-CME-001 and the M1.9 flare from Active Region 14492 (N16W70) with ID 2026-07-30T15:53:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2026-07-30T17:00Z.


URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20260730-AL-002

Issue Time: 2026-07-30T18:33Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Auto-generated Space Weather Notification - SEP
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-30T18:33:31Z
## Message ID: 20260730-AL-002
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by GOES. The flux of > 100 MeV protons exceeds 1 pfu starting at 2026-07-30T18:25Z.

NASA Spacecraft at MEO, GEO and other high-altitude orbits and high-inclination LEO can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2026-07-30T18:25:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20260730-AL-001

Issue Time: 2026-07-30T18:18Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - SEP Prediction
##
## Message Issue Date: 2026-07-30T18:18:36Z
## Message ID: 20260730-AL-001
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event forecasted near the L1 orbit by the HESPERIA REleASE model starting at 2026-07-30T18:20Z. The flux of one or more of the >15.8 MeV protons channels exceeds 10^(-1) pfu/MeV within next few hours.

NASA spacecraft at the L1 and near-Earth orbits can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2026-07-30T18:20:00-SEP-002.

## Notes:

This modeled SEP event (2026-07-30T18:20:00-SEP-002) is associated with an M1.9 flare from Active Region 14492 (N16W70) with ID 2026-07-30T15:53:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2026-07-30T17:00Z.


URL: View Details